Pollster Deathmatch: Who's winning the election?

Anyone notice this? We seem to not only have a battle of political parties, but also a battle of pollsters.

According to Harris/Decima press release of September 21st the Conservatives lead is growing:

Conservatives:39%,
Liberals: 23%
NDP: 17%
Green Party: 11%
BQ: 8%.

However, a press release on the very same day by our friend Nik Nanos (who it is worth remembering predicted the last election within .2%) had the Conservatives lead shrinking:

Conservatives:36%,
Liberals: 31%
NDP: 20%
Green Party 7%
BQ 7%.

Personally, my money is on Nik, but something is going on here. These two polls are in disagreement well outside the margin of error. Liberal support is either at 23% or 31%? A lead of 5% versus 16%? These are huge differences…

When this election is over someone is going to really have egg on their face.

4 thoughts on “Pollster Deathmatch: Who's winning the election?

  1. Kim Feraday

    Couldn't agree more. Tweeted Kady O'Malley this morning after she posted today's Nanos numbers that maybe they should stop publishing these as there's so much discrepancy between them that they're starting to create confusion not clarity.

    Reply
  2. Russell Collier

    Came across this interesting link on CBC.ca today. The story has been out a while. Perhaps it's worth a bit of a write-up?http://www.voteforenvironment.ca/I see by reading your posts we have a friend in common – Tzeporah Berman! Please say from Russell the Gitxsan up near Smithers, BC.

    Reply
  3. Russell Collier

    Came across this interesting link on CBC.ca today. The story has been out a while. Perhaps it's worth a bit of a write-up?http://www.voteforenvironment.ca/I see by reading your posts we have a friend in common – Tzeporah Berman! Please say from Russell the Gitxsan up near Smithers, BC.

    Reply

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